You are here: Home - Household Bills - News -

UK economy narrowly avoids recession

0
Written by: Emma Lunn
11/11/2019
Growth in the UK economy has slowed to its lowest rate in almost a decade, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

Year-on-year GDP growth slowed to 1 per cent in the three months to the end of September – the lowest since the first three months of 2010.

However, the UK avoided recession after the economy expanded 0.3 per cent in the three months to the end of September. The economy had shrunk in the second quarter, and two quarters of contraction would have signalled a recession.

There had been fears that Brexit uncertainty could have pushed the economy into further negative growth, but Britain’s services sector – which includes industries such banking and IT – performed strongly enough to push the UK into positive territory.

Artur Baluszynski, head of research at Henderson Rowe, said: “The UK has ducked a recession but has seen the weakest growth in a decade. Brexit aside, the UK will struggle to expand if the rest of the global economy is slowing down. After a strong July and August, September was weaker. We would expect next quarter to remain modest, despite the seasonal boost, as trade tensions and political uncertainty are set to continue.”

Andy Scott, associate director at JCRA, said: “Today’s data contains nothing particularly surprising and hence sterling barely reacted with a shrug. The continual delay to the Brexit process means the UK remains an uncertain environment to invest in for businesses, which results in slower growth. The fact that a general election is under way in the fourth quarter, with the risk of either a hung parliament, or potentially a socialist Labour party forming a coalition government, suggests a further deceleration or stagnation as we close out 2019. While the fog of Brexit hangs in the air, the clouds over the economy continue to darken.

“Sterling meanwhile has taken the decision to have an early general election and the news that two Bank of England members voted for a rate cut last week, largely in its stride. Sterling is currently trading at 1.28 versus the Dollar, down only 2 cents from a five-month high reached last month, while it is trading at 1.16 versus the Euro, less than half a cent from its recent highs.

“The next test for GBP investors is now only a month away, what to do if the betting odds are right and the most likely outcome is a hung parliament? While UK politics has been far from functional of late, increased instability in Westminster would surely cause even the most optimistic GBP bulls to rethink and retreat.”

There are 0 Comment(s)

If you wish to comment without signing in, click your cursor in the top box and tick the 'Sign in as a guest' box at the bottom.

Your right to a refund if travel is affected by train strikes

There have been a wave of train strikes in the past six months, and for anyone travelling today Friday 3 Febru...

Could you save money with a social broadband tariff?

Two-thirds of low-income households are unaware they could be saving on broadband, according to Uswitch.

How to help others and donate to food banks this winter

This winter is expected to be the most challenging yet for the food bank network as soaring costs push more pe...

What will happen if rates change

How your finances will be impacted by a rise in interest rates.

Regular Savings Calculator

Small regular contributions can build up nicely over time.

Online Savings Calculator

Work out how your online savings can build over time.

DIY investors: 10 common mistakes to avoid

For those without the help and experience of an adviser, here are 10 common DIY investor mistakes to avoid.

Mortgage down-valuations: Tips to avoid pulling out of a house sale

Down-valuations are on the rise. So, what does it mean for home buyers, and what can you do?

Five tips for surviving a bear market mauling

The S&P 500 has slipped into bear market territory and for UK investors, the FTSE 250 is also on the edge. Her...

Money Tips of the Week