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Bank chief signals end to interest rate forward guidance

Your Money
Written By:
Your Money
Posted:
Updated:
05/12/2014

The Governor of the Bank of England has indicated his policy of linking interest rates to unemployment could be scrapped less than six months after its creation.

One of Carney’s first moves when taking over the hot seat at the Bank was to introduce an unemployment threshold to give a signal as to when interest rates might start to rise.

This forward guidance was welcomed at the time, but yesterday Carney moved in the opposite direction after the sharp drop in the unemployment rate helped build expectations an interest rate rise could come much faster – and even be seen this year.

Figures out this week showed unemployment has fallen to 7.1%, only fractionally above the 7% threshold which Carney had previously said was the point at which rates may start to rise.

Speaking yesterday at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Carney indicated the bank has decided not to revise its 7% unemployment threshold, but in a major U-turn he added the Bank is against “unnecessarily focusing on one indicator” in future.

“There are a broad range of things we could do,” he said, while making it clear the rate-setting Monetary Policy Committee has not taken a final decision yet.

“We are trying to get across that it’s all about overall conditions in the labour market . . . We would not want to detract from that focus by unnecessarily focusing on one indicator.”

Carney added there are no immediate plans to raise rates despite the fact unemployment has moved so close to the threshold of 7% much more quickly than anticipated.