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Pound slumps as inflation drops to lowest level in four years

Dan Jones
Written By:
Dan Jones
Posted:
Updated:
05/12/2014

UK CPI inflation dropped to 2.2% in October, a larger-than-expected fall that sent sterling to a two-month low against the dollar.

CPI inflation fell from 2.7% in September to 2.2% last month, the Office for National Statistics said, driven by falls in motor fuel and tuition fees.

Economists had predicted a fall to 2.5%.

The 2.2% headline figure matches the lowest level seen in recent years, reached in September 2012. The last time inflation stood below this level was in November 2009, when CPI was at 1.9%.

Sterling fell sharply against the dollar on the news, dropping by more than a cent to $1.5861, a two-month low.

RPI inflation, though no longer used by the ONS, also fell sharply from 3.2% to 2.6%.

The release comes a day before the BoE’s quarterly inflation report, to be published tomorrow morning.

The Bank is expected to increase GDP forecasts as part of the report, and today’s figure, which sees inflation fall close to its 2% target, strengthens its attempt to convince markets that rates will remain lower for longer.

Having tracked US treasury yields higher over the past week, UK 10-year gilt yields fell back on this morning’s news, dropping from 2.83% to 2.78%.


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